{"id":57,"date":"2026-06-28T23:30:47","date_gmt":"2026-06-28T14:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antsnowball.com\/?p=57"},"modified":"2026-06-28T23:30:48","modified_gmt":"2026-06-28T14:30:48","slug":"%eb%8b%a4%ec%9d%8c%ec%a3%bc-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-%ec%9d%bc%ec%a0%95-%eb%b0%8f-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-6%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%eb%8f%99%ed%96%a5-%eb%b3%b4%ea%b3%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antsnowball.com\/?p=57","title":{"rendered":"\ub2e4\uc74c\uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc0f \uc804\ub9dd: 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ub3d9\ud5a5 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc640 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ubc1c\ud45c \ucd1d\uc815\ub9ac"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \uc694\uc77c\ubcc4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \uc77c\uc815 (6\uc6d4 29\uc77c ~ 7\uc6d4 3\uc77c)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">6\uc6d4 29\uc77c (\uc6d4) : \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub9ac\ubc38\ub7f0\uc2f1 \ubc0f \uc790\uae08 \uc774\ub3d9<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\uc8fc\uc694 \ubc1c\ud45c:<\/strong> \ub2f9\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ub300\ud615 \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\uc8fc\uc694 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c:<\/strong> \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30\ub97c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uace0 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubd84\uae30(3\ubd84\uae30)\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \uccab\ub0a0\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae30\uad00 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc7ac\ubc30\uce58(Rebalancing)\uc640 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc218\uae09 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub0a0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">6\uc6d4 30\uc77c (\ud654) : \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44 \uc2ec\ub9ac \ubc0f \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc1c\ud45c<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c:<\/strong> 6\uc6d4 \ucf58\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4\ubcf4\ub4dc(CB) \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218, S&amp;P \ucf54\uc5b4\ub85c\uc9c1 \ucf00\uc774\uc2a4-\uc2e4\ub7ec \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5:<\/strong> \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e4\ubb3c \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 70%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc18c\ube44 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc758 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud568 \uc5ec\ubd80\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\uc758 \uc8fc\ubc94\uc778 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uac00\uaca9 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud30c\uc545\ud558\uc5ec \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uac04\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">7\uc6d4 1\uc77c (\uc218) : ADP \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9, ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI \ubc0f <strong>FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c<\/strong> <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c:<\/strong> 6\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c, 6\uc6d4 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\ucd08\ub300\ud615 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8:<\/strong> <strong>\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \ud68c\uc758\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c (\ud55c\uad6d \uc2dc\uac04 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc0c8\ubcbd)<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5:<\/strong> \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub450\uace0 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc744 \ubc8c\uc600\ub294\uc9c0 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uacf5\uac1c\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc218\uc704\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \uc694\ub3d9\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">7\uc6d4 2\uc77c (\ubaa9) : \uc870\uae30 \ud3d0\uc7a5 \uc804 \uc218\uae09 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ubc0f 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc120\ubc1c\ud589 \ud83d\udea8<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c:<\/strong> <strong>\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ubd80 6\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790\uc218 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \ubc1c\ud45c<\/strong> (\u203b \ub3c5\ub9bd\uae30\ub150\uc77c \uc5f0\ud734\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc55e\ub2f9\uaca8 \ubc1c\ud45c)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc77c\uc815:<\/strong> <strong>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd \ubc0f \ucc44\uad8c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uae30 \ud3d0\uc7a5 (\ud604\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uac04 \uc624\ud6c4 1\uc2dc \ub3d9\ubd80\ud45c\uc900\uc2dc)<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5:<\/strong> \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218\uc640 \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 <strong>\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc804\uccb4\uac00 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911 \ubc1c\ud45c<\/strong>\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ud734\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc774 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uc0c1\ud669(Summer Doldrums)\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud3c9\uc18c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba87 \ubc30\ub85c \uacfc\uc7a5\ub418\uc5b4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">7\uc6d4 3\uc77c (\uae08) : <strong>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub3c5\ub9bd\uae30\ub150\uc77c(Independence Day)\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc804\uba74 \ud734\uc7a5<\/strong> \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud0dc:<\/strong> <strong>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc(NYSE, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5) \ubc0f \ucc44\uad8c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\uccb4 \ud734\uc7a5<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5:<\/strong> 7\uc6d4 4\uc77c \ub3c5\ub9bd\uae30\ub150\uc77c\uc774 \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c\uc778 \uad00\uacc4\ub85c \uc804\ub0a0\uc778 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ub300\uccb4 \ud734\uc7a5\uc774 \uc801\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ub0a0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc8fc\ub9d0 \ub3d9\uc548 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uc18c\ud654\ub41c \ud6c4 \uadf8\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ubcf8\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubcf8\uaca9 \ubc18\uc601\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud754\ub4e4 3\ub300 \ud575\uc2ec \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><td><strong>\ud575\uc2ec \ud14c\ub9c8<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\uc815\ubc00 \ubd84\uc11d \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>\uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc640 \uace8\ub514\ub77d\uc2a4<\/strong><\/td><td>\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc801\uc815 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 &#8216;\uace8\ub514\ub77d\uc2a4(\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ub454\ud654)&#8217;\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud55c\ubc88 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ub108\ubb34 \uac15\ud558\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud6c4\ud1f4 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00, \ub108\ubb34 \uc57d\ud558\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \uce68\uccb4 \uacf5\ud3ec\uac00 \uace0\uac1c\ub97c \ub4e4 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ub0b4\ubd80 \ud1a4\uc564\ub9e4\ub108<\/strong><\/td><td>\ud68c\uc758\ub85d \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c &#8220;\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(Higher for longer) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ub354 \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4&#8221;\ub294 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc9d9\uac8c \ubb3b\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc758 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \uac00\uc911\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc139\ud130\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud655\uc778<\/strong><\/td><td>\ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub860\uc758 \uc5ed\ub300\uae09 \uc2e4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AI \uc218\uc694 \ubc84\ube14\ub860\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc \ud574\uc18c\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc5f0\ud734 \uc804 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ube44\ub514\uc544\uc640 \uc11c\ud3ec\ud2b8 \ubc38\ub958\uccb4\uc778(HBM \uad00\ub828\uc8fc)\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uad00\uc758 \uc800\uac00 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \uacb0\ub860 \ubc0f \ud604\uba85\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub300\uc751 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\ube14\ub85c\uac70\uc758 \ud55c \uc904 \ub300\uc751 \ud301:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc870\uae30 \ud3d0\uc7a5\uacfc \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ud734\uc7a5\uc774 \uacb9\uce5c \u2018\uc587\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\u2019 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd08\ub300\ud615 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ucd9c\ub801\uac70\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c, \ubb34\ub9ac\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0 \ucd94\uc885 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ub294 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\ub294 \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud0c0\uc774\ubc0d\uacfc \ud734\uc7a5 \uc77c\uc815\uc774 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\uac8c \uc5bd\ud600 \uc788\uc5b4 \uac1c\uc778 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uac10\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ub9e4\ud558\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ub178\uc774\uc988\uc5d0 \uc77c\ud76c\uc77c\ube44\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294, \uc2e4\uc801 \uac00\uc2dc\uc131\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \ud655\ubcf4\ub41c \uba54\uc774\uc800 AI \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc640 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \ub300\uc7a5\uc8fc \uc704\uc8fc\ub85c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \ubb34\uac8c \uc911\uc2ec\uc744 \ub2e8\ub2e8\ud788 \uace0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc720\ud6a8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1. \uc694\uc77c\ubcc4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \uc77c\uc815 (6\uc6d4 29\uc77c ~ 7\uc6d4 3\uc77c) 6\uc6d4 29\uc77c (\uc6d4) : \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub9ac\ubc38\ub7f0\uc2f1 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":58,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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